Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 76.304044 85.714104 95.305515 105.781276 116.869860 128.228669 140.714838
2025-11-23 60.443205 73.856402 88.127723 104.311149 122.029994 140.728634 161.844344
2025-11-30 52.524430 68.306866 85.624668 105.770717 128.317172 152.555230 180.372894
2025-12-07 46.589937 64.124786 83.899234 107.408812 134.198426 163.427406 197.398909
2025-12-14 40.314014 58.841751 80.321695 106.404500 136.635999 170.072084 209.377200
2025-12-21 34.512564 53.558180 76.269126 104.423926 137.589032 174.736281 218.858471
2025-12-28 32.420284 52.626237 77.212949 108.134961 144.961218 186.557415 236.300158
2026-01-04 29.785654 50.751254 76.813463 110.079730 150.137828 195.763411 250.688708
2026-01-11 26.335461 47.512872 74.495882 109.512698 152.192066 201.242338 260.710047
2026-01-18 23.297641 44.570015 72.351938 108.989239 154.159057 206.508953 270.392741
2026-01-25 21.020373 42.490501 71.173887 109.544806 157.327923 213.107420 281.555321
2026-02-01 18.516498 39.866226 69.121299 108.868655 158.895397 217.737247 290.360067
2026-02-08 16.513472 37.841975 67.791263 109.075746 161.546121 223.685262 300.773724
2026-02-15 14.286731 35.263009 65.563641 108.016462 162.552610 227.618080 308.784314
2026-02-22 13.045476 34.136857 65.271887 109.423414 166.586523 235.150861 321.020104
2026-03-01 11.997227 33.229556 65.225459 111.107834 170.936751 243.045216 333.673511
2026-03-08 10.307736 31.039963 63.217274 110.081559 171.788131 246.644881 341.174662
2026-03-15 8.553725 28.506156 60.558639 108.063447 171.287238 248.528639 346.569363
2026-03-22 8.325146 28.814318 62.143242 111.845427 178.240750 259.554725 362.945384
2026-03-29 7.708277 28.299404 62.440428 113.827009 182.853816 267.695336 375.849248
2026-04-05 6.606487 26.668260 60.938571 113.249276 184.102109 271.653819 383.686622
2026-04-12 5.627406 25.141130 59.513017 112.715920 185.362520 275.594553 391.477873
2026-04-19 4.942517 24.155090 58.891795 113.281991 188.039424 281.279080 401.373816